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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Fed
  3. ECB rate cut in 2026?
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

0.5% (24h)FedOne-OffEuropeCentral Banks6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 14%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

24 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

1,5 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

13.0% / 15.0%

Spread

15.4%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+0.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

23/12/25, 22:4631/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes14%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,978.79+2.53%EthereumETH$1,661.11+1.78%SolanaSOL$65.42+1.74%

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Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.56%BNBBNB$597.15+1.83%XRPXRP$1.12+0.44%CardanoADA$0.1654+2.63%HyperliquidHYPE$56.06+0.99%LitecoinLTC$42.70+0.46%

Notícias Relacionadas

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindeskMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain ReporterBitcoin price falls below $60K as hot U.S. jobs report crushes rate cut hopesCrypto News

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.