Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNo change 69.5%+1.4ptLíder entre 3 opções
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+36.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
2/09/26, 15:16 UTC28/10/26, 18:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the October 2026 FOMC meeting.
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the September2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Limitless — Fed Decision in October? · No change 66%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 66%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) · H 0 63%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Fed Decision in October? · No change 67%
Mercados abertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,6 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- € 3,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 45,5 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- € 997 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 41,2 mil
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Fed decision in October??
- A Manifold Markets cota No change em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Fed decision in October? é resolvido?
- Fed decision in October? deverá ser resolvido em 28 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Fed decision in October? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the October 2026 FOMC meeting.
- Onde mais Fed decision in October? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Limitless, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket.