KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Exactly 2 56.6%-4.0ptLíder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
10,1 mil €
Liquidez
18 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
15/09/26, 17:00 UTC3/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Federal Reserve
- Please note the following definition of a "rate hike": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points.
- An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes.
- An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.
Mercados abertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 5,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mi
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Number of rate hikes in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Exactly 2 em 57% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Number of rate hikes in 2026? é resolvido?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Number of rate hikes in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.