Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 66.3%
Previsores
47
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado7/01/26, 16:06 UTC16/09/26, 18:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc....
- I will consider Polymarket to have guessed correctly if the correct outcome is the most likely Polymarket answer 24 hours before the decision is made.
- Resolves on Dec. 9th after the last fed meeting.
- Reference Market: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1767801675891
Mercados abertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,6 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt49.5%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.5%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 543,8 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt2%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.9pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.6pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,6 mi
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 16 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc....