LimitlessVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atual
No change 83.5%Líder entre 5 opções
No change 83.5%Qualidade do mercado
22 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
10/08/26, 08:20 UTC28/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "the named outcome" bracket.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
3 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para No change é de 84%. A dispersão entre plataformas é de cerca de 1 ponto percentual. As plataformas não concordam sobre qual resultado está à frente.
Referencia CoinRithm No change 84% · 3 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Fed decision in October? · No change 82%
- Também disponível em Futuur — Fed interest rate decision — October 2026 · No change 81%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 81%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed rate decision in October 2026 · Fed maintains rate 80%
- Também disponível em Gemini — Fed decision in October?
