KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above -0.1% 66%+1.0ptLíder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3,1 mil €
Liquidez
1,9 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
20/02/26, 15:0010/11/26, 13:25
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026).
- Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.0% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mi
KALSHIUS electricity price in August
- Above 19.2¢+3.0pt99%
- Above 19.4¢+2.0pt93%
- Above 19.6¢56%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 35,5 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes-1.0pt55.5%
- No+1.0pt44.5%
- Volume total
- € 6,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 11,5 mil
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause+3.0pt67%
- Pause–Pause–Cut+0.1pt1%
- Other-2.0pt32%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting-1.0pt32%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 0 (0+4.0pt45.1%
- 1 (25-1.0pt38.2%
- 2 (50-0.5pt14.7%
+3 mais resultados
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de CPI in October?
- A Kalshi cota Above -0.1% em 66% em 23 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando CPI in October é resolvido?
- CPI in October deverá ser resolvido em 10 de novembro de 2026.
- Como CPI in October é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.