PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
2.0-2.5% 28.4%+1.5ptLíder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
3,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-16.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado31/07/26, 23:4330/10/26, 6:00
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercados abertos
Economy
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume total
- € 381,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 54,3 mil
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.8%99%
- Above 3.7%98%
- Above 3.9%-3.0pt92%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 360,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 49,3 mil
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -100,00096%
- Above -75,000+2.0pt95%
- Above -50,000+1.0pt90%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 109,3 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 309,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 15,5 mil
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No68%
- Yes+2.0pt32%
- Volume total
- € 235,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,2 mil
POLYMARKETAugust Unemployment Rate
- 4.1%-0.5pt32.1%
- 4.2%+0.5pt32.1%
- 4.0%+3.5pt16%
+6 mais resultados
- How many jobs added in August?
- Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Recession this year?
- Recession this year?
- CPI in August
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q2 2026
- GDP growth in 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- A Polymarket cota 2.0-2.5% em 28% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? é resolvido?
- Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.