PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
0.2–0.3% 24.1%-1.0ptLíder entre 7 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
36,5 €
Liquidez
3,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Variação 7d
-6.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
13/08/26, 17:4312/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
- Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%).
Mercados abertos
Economy
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs97%
- Above 450,000 jobs-2.0pt93%
- Above 452,500 jobs+1.0pt84%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 51,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 10,4 mil
POLYMARKETEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- 0.8-1.1%-9.0pt49.5%
- 0.4-0.7%-7.0pt31.6%
- 1.2-1.5%-1.3pt9.5%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 120,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,8 mil
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+1.0pt9%
- Volume total
- € 218,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,3 mil
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -25,000-3.0pt85%
- Above 0+4.0pt77%
- Above 20,000+5.0pt71%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 117,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,1 mil
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- How many jobs added in August?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in August
- US recession by end of 2026?
- 2026 World GDP Growth
- ISM Manufacturing PMI in August
- Recession this year?
- US economic state at the end of 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
- A Polymarket cota 0.2–0.3% em 24% em 26 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? é resolvido?
- UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? deverá ser resolvido em 12 de novembro de 2026.
- Como UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.