PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
3.0% 25.7%+0.6ptLíder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
62 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,6 mil €
Liquidez
4,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.3 pt
Spread apertadoComments
0
Variação 7d
+13.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
23/01/26, 16:2015/01/27, 0:00
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
- The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”.
- Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
- If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook.
- If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
