World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)
InflaçãoOne-OffMacro e economiaEconomiaCâmbioNegócios e empresas
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 64.1%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado22/05/23, 02:13 UTC1/02/01, 07:59 UTC
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Nominal US Dollars, not PPP adjusted, not inflation adjusted.
- Resolves prob to 10*((world gdp 2100 / world gdp 2023)^(1/77)-1)
- If dollars cease to exist during the interval, I'll use the next largest fiat currency at the last available exchange rate from dollars to that currency.
- (e.g., if 1 USD = 4 Yuan just before the dollar ceases to exist, then the 2100 world gdp will be measured in Yuan and divided by 4 to convert it to the dollars that no longer exist)
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