Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
4.0–5.0% 89%+0.5ptLíder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
39,8 €
Liquidez
76,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
17
Variação 7d
+0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado21/01/26, 23:2331/01/27, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
- The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”.
- The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
- If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026.
Mercados abertos
Economy
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume total
- € 381,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 54,3 mil
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.8%99%
- Above 3.7%98%
- Above 3.9%-3.0pt92%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 360,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 49,3 mil
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -100,00096%
- Above -75,000+2.0pt95%
- Above -50,000+1.0pt90%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 109,3 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 309,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 15,5 mil
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No68%
- Yes+2.0pt32%
- Volume total
- € 235,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,2 mil
POLYMARKETAugust Unemployment Rate
- 4.1%-0.5pt32.1%
- 4.2%+0.5pt32.1%
- 4.0%+3.5pt16%
+6 mais resultados
- How many jobs added in August?
- Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Recession this year?
- Recession this year?
- CPI in August
- Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q2 2026
- GDP growth in 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de China Annual GDP Growth 2026?
- A Polymarket cota 4.0–5.0% em 89% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando China Annual GDP Growth 2026 é resolvido?
- China Annual GDP Growth 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como China Annual GDP Growth 2026 é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.