Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 83.7%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado9/11/23, 00:21 UTC2/01/30, 00:00 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/2621/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- Real GDP Annual Growth Rate in the United States averaged 3.3% from 1930 until 2017, reaching an all time high of 8.7% in 1950 and a record low of -3.90% in the second quarter of 2009.
- This question asks: *In any year before Q1 2030, will the US record real GDP annual growth rate of greater than 8.7%, beating the record set in 1950?*
- For the purpose of this question, we shall refer to Real GDP in terms of percent change from preceding year, as provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, or other reputable sources of economic data.
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,6 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 554,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,8 mil
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Volume total
- € 314,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 11 mil
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 17,7 mil
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 76 mil
- Volume 24h
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
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- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de [Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 84% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando [Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030? é resolvido?
- [Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como [Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?