KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atual1.6% to 2.0% 26.5%+0.2ptLíder entre 14 opções
Qualidade do mercado
79 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
7,4 mil €
Liquidez
164,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
0.6% / 2.9%
Spread
2.3 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 24 minutos
14/01/26, 15:0028/02/27, 13:29
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
0.1% to 0.5%2%
Comparar plataformas· 1.6% to 2.0%
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 27% | 0pt | 7,4 mil € | 164,8 mil € | há 24 minutos | |
 Gemini87% de correspondência · auto | Baixa | 98% | +71pt | 0 € | 0 € | há 24 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Gemini
US GDP Growth in 2026?
7m
98%
93%
93%
+7 mais resultados
22 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total20,4 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
GEMINIRegras
If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$8.4k2 de jul.25d de dados27 de jul.
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
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POLYMARKET
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UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
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Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
438,5 €Sim: 2.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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Notícias Relacionadas
Regras
If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.