KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
2.1% to 2.5% 15%Líder entre 14 opções
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
14,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
8/06/26, 20:00 UTC28/02/28, 13:29 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
US real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2036?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2028?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2.5% in Q4 2027?
ForecastExWhat will be Argentina's average annual real GDP growth during the presidency of Javier Milei?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2029?
KalshiRegras
If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2027.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2027 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2027 GDP in early 2028.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “the named outcome” includes 6.1%, and “the named outcome” includes 0.0%.
Mercados abertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 91 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 569,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,4 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 359,2 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 16,4 mil
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Volume total
- € 314,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,5 mil
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US real GDP growth in 2027??
- A Kalshi cota 2.1% to 2.5% em 15% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US real GDP growth in 2027? é resolvido?
- US real GDP growth in 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 28 de fevereiro de 2028.
- Como US real GDP growth in 2027? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.