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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Inflation
  3. Will the Citrini scenario happen?
Will the Citrini scenario happen?

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

InflationOne-OffEconomiaEquities2a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 29%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

1,4 €

Liquidez

1,7 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

29.0% / 30.0%

Spread

3.5%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

25/02/26, 15:001/07/28, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes29%

Regras

If at least 3 of: unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS) S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50% CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release

Kalshi
  • occur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercados Relacionados

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

8 €
Above 4.0%: 79%KalshiKALSHI
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

5,9 €
Above 4.9%: 42%KalshiKALSHI
Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

5,3 €
Above 2.2%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

3 €
Overheating: 48%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

25,7 mil €
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

664,6 €
4.1%: 23%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,250.86+1.35%EthereumETH$1,641.16+0.69%SolanaSOL$64.82+0.32%DogecoinDOGE$0.084-0.20%XRPXRP$1.11-0.83%BNBBNB$591.59+0.43%

Notícias Relacionadas

BlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsBlame bitcoin's tumble on rising inflation, not Strategy, 10xResearch arguesCoindeskSpaceX Price Prediction: Will IPO Hype Justify a Multi-Trillion Dollar Valuation?Blockchain ReporterU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindeskWhy the crypto crash has nothing to do with the stock marketCrypto News

Regras

If at least 3 of: unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS) S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50% CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release

Kalshi
  • occur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.