Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?
EconomiaDailyAçõesMacro e economiaPolítica comercialNegócios e empresas2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 52.2%
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51
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado6/01/26, 14:50 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
S&P 500 closes in previous years -
- December 31, 2023: 4769.83
- December 31, 2024: 5881.63 (2024 gain: 1111.80) December 31, 2025: 6845.50 (2025 gain: 963.87)
- The average gain in the last 2 years was 1037.835 points.
- This market resolves YES if the S&P 500 gains more points in 2026 than it did on average in 2024 and 2025 (closing above 7883.335, rounding up), and resolves NO if it does not (closing below that number).
- The S&P 500 ended 2025 up 16.4%, following a gain of 23.3% in 2024.
