Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
One-OffEconomiaPolítica comercialMacro e economia2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 86.7%
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28
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado10/02/26, 18:37 UTC1/01/27, 00:00 UTC
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ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.2% in December 2026?
ForecastExRegras
Resolves YES if BLS reports US unemployment rate above 4.5% for any month in 2026.
- Current rate ~4.0%.
- Key risk factors: tariff-driven disruption, federal workforce reductions.
