Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 11 de jun. de 2026, 17:25 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Previsão da comunidade atualy ≥ 2.0% 100%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 44 dias
Desatualizado20/11/25, 18:291/02/27, 23:59
Tendências
100%
100%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
y ≥ 4.5%57%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Fed Decision in July?
1,7 M €No change: 80%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?
50,3 mil €Sim: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
9,2 mil €Above 3.4%: 31%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike by which date?
7,6 mil €October Meeting: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
CPI in July
4,3 mil €Above -0.1%: 86%KALSHI
KALSHI![Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]](https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/zzq/ajwghjn2s9.jpg)
Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]
3,4 mil €Republican president, <2%: 23.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.NewsRegras
Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.
- If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
- Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
- Please adjust your prices accordingly.
- Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
- If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.