KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 600 98%Líder entre 13 opções
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
6,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
5/03/26, 15:00 UTC10/01/27, 13:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will one of the Big Four airlines go bankrupt, be acquired, or cease operations before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Twitter (X) go bankrupt before 2027?
Manifold MarketsCompanies to go public in 2026
FutuurWill OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027?
Manifold MarketsMore white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -182,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExRegras
If the number of corporate bankruptcies is greater than 550, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Standard & Poor's
- If the number of corporate bankruptcies is greater than 600, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of corporate bankruptcies is greater than 650, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of corporate bankruptcies is greater than 750, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of corporate bankruptcies is greater than 800, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of corporate bankruptcies is greater than 850, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 97,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,8 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 702,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 400 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,5 mil
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,3 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,9 mil
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How many companies will go bankrupt this year??
- A Kalshi cota Above 600 em 98% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How many companies will go bankrupt this year? é resolvido?
- How many companies will go bankrupt this year? deverá ser resolvido em 10 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como How many companies will go bankrupt this year? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the number of corporate bankruptcies is greater than 550, then the market resolves to Yes.