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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Economia
  3. How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

0.1% (24h)EconomiaOne-Off6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
5.0%
5.0% 17%
Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

792,6 €

Liquidez

10 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

10.1% / 14.0%

Spread

38.6%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-3.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

2/01/26, 18:5631/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

5.0%17%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026.
  • This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released.
  • If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve at that time.
  • The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.

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US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

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Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

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June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €
4.2%: 31%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,1 €
2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KalshiKALSHI
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

96,2 €
Sim: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,655.03+2.33%EthereumETH$1,650.38+1.55%SolanaSOL$65.14+1.56%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.70%XRPXRP$1.12+0.21%BNBBNB$595.20+1.63%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026.
  • This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released.
  • If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve at that time.
  • The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.