Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

EconomiaOne-Off4m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa

Probabilidade implícita atual

Shutdown & Democratic 81%

Líder entre 5 opções

Qualidade do mercado

83 / 100

Alta qualidade

Volume 24h

4,5 €

Liquidez

36,5 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venda

80.9% / 81.7%

Spread

1.0%

Spread apertado

Variação 7d

-0.1%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

9/12/25, 18:553/11/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

No Shutdown & Democratic

Other

No Shutdown & Republican

Resultado escolhido

Shutdown & Democratic81%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).

The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? This market will resolve according to whether the U.S.
Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).

Mercados Relacionados

US recession by end of 2026?

3,2 mil €

Sim: 20%

POLYMARKET

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,5 €

5.0%: 17%

POLYMARKET

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,8 €

Sim: 27.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €

4.3%: 30%

POLYMARKET

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,2 €

2.6% to 3.0%: 11%

KALSHI

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

80,4 €

Sim: 47.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,928.12+2.36%

EthereumETH$1,659.82+1.76%

SolanaSOL$65.29+1.60%

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.50%

XRPXRP$1.12+0.50%

BNBBNB$597.07+1.89%

Regras

The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? This market will resolve according to whether the U.S.
Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

EconomiaOne-Off4m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa

Probabilidade implícita atual

Shutdown & Democratic 81%

Líder entre 5 opções

Qualidade do mercado

83 / 100

Alta qualidade

Volume 24h

4,5 €

Liquidez

36,5 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venda

80.9% / 81.7%

Spread

1.0%

Spread apertado

Variação 7d

-0.1%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

9/12/25, 18:553/11/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

No Shutdown & Democratic

Other

No Shutdown & Republican

Resultado escolhido

Shutdown & Democratic81%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? This market will resolve according to whether the U.S.
Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).

Mercados Relacionados

US recession by end of 2026?

3,2 mil €

Sim: 20%

POLYMARKET

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,5 €

5.0%: 17%

POLYMARKET

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,8 €

Sim: 27.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €

4.3%: 30%

POLYMARKET

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,2 €

2.6% to 3.0%: 11%

KALSHI

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

80,4 €

Sim: 47.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,928.12+2.36%

EthereumETH$1,659.82+1.76%

SolanaSOL$65.29+1.60%

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.50%

XRPXRP$1.12+0.50%

BNBBNB$597.07+1.89%

Regras

The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? This market will resolve according to whether the U.S.
Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).