Previsão da comunidade atual
Feb 1 2026 100%Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores
49
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-40.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado24/01/26, 22:4629/11/26, 22:43
Tendências
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
If the government is shut down for at least 1 minute on the listed date, Washington DC time, resolves yes for that date.
- Resolution will be based on whether a shutdown notice is visible on the OPM (Office of Personnel Management) site for at least part of a day.
- If a notice is visible on the OPM site for any portion of a given date, that date will resolve YES.
- Otherwise it will resolve NO.
- A shut down end will be determined by the date on which the funding package required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted.
- The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de On which dates will the US government be shutdown??
- A Manifold Markets cota Feb 1 2026 em 100% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando On which dates will the US government be shutdown? é resolvido?
- On which dates will the US government be shutdown? deverá ser resolvido em 29 de novembro de 2026.
- Como On which dates will the US government be shutdown? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the government is shut down for at least 1 minute on the listed date, Washington DC time, resolves yes for that date.