Conditional on the threat of a government shutdown, will president Biden “mint the coin?"
EconomiaOne-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUA3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 99%
Previsores
37
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado9/01/23, 04:33 UTC1/02/27, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
See related market for context: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-president-biden-mint-the-coin
- This market resolves N/A if there is never an actual credible threat of a government shutdown during the Biden administration.
- If there is, and president Biden orders the mint to strike one or more platinum coins of collective denominations high enough to evade the budgetary issues, this market immediately resolves YES as soon as the coin(s) exist(s).
- Should the threat arise and should Biden "mint the coin," this market resolves YES regardless of whether he does so in time to actually avert a government shutdown or not.
- Should the threat arise and should Biden NOT "mint the coin", this market resolves NO if the government shuts down for any amount of time.
- Should the threat arise and should Biden NOT "mint the coin", and a government shutdown is averted through any other means, this market resolves N/A.
