(5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027?
EconomiaOne-OffUS PoliticsPolítica3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualShutdown 2 46.3%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado27/08/26, 20:07 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market uses a nonstandard mechanism that multiplies the odds of the underlying event by 5x.
- Please read the full description before trading.
- For fairness, and because of the nonstandard mechanism, I will not trade on any market in this Set.
- The reason I made this mechanism is because I noticed that due to the multiplier mechanism other multiplied odds markets tend to have their results N/A, which reverts all trades on the market, this means there is no reward for trading information even if the market does resolve correctly.
- This way all 5 of the markets should always have the same odds, and for one of them trades on it will not revert.
- There is no mechanism to force trading on all 5 markets, which means they can (but shouldn't) separate.
Mercados abertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,6 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 554,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,8 mil
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Volume total
- € 314,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 11 mil
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 17,7 mil
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 76 mil
- Volume 24h
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Shutdown 2 em 46% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027? é resolvido?
- (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market uses a nonstandard mechanism that multiplies the odds of the underlying event by 5x.