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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Economia
  3. 2026: Trump's dream year?
2026: Trump's dream year?

2026: Trump's dream year?

3.1% (24h)EconomiaOne-OffUS PoliticsPolítica1a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 9%+3.1%
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

5,2 €

Liquidez

1,6 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

5.7% / 8.7%

Spread

52.6%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 8 minutos

17/12/25, 15:0031/12/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes9%

Regras

If **ALL** of the following occur:

Kalshi
  • Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND 2.
  • Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND 3.
  • GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND 4.
  • The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026
  • then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercados Relacionados

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

2,5 €
Sim: 37%KalshiKALSHI
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

85,2 €
2028: 27%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
2026: Trump's bad year?

2026: Trump's bad year?

8,8 €
Sim: 14%KalshiKALSHI
Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

1,9 €
Sim: 51%KalshiKALSHI
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

0 €
Sim: 26%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

5,1 €
-2.4%– -1.6%: 46%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,634.59+2.05%EthereumETH$1,649.42+1.21%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.46%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.56%XRPXRP$1.12+0.17%BNBBNB$594.88+1.46%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

If **ALL** of the following occur:

Kalshi
  • Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND 2.
  • Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND 3.
  • GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND 4.
  • The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026
  • then the market resolves to Yes.