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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Economia
  3. US real GDP growth in 2030?
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

3.0% (24h)EconomiaOne-Off4a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
2.6% to 3.0%
2.6% to 3.0% 11%+3.0%
Líder entre 14 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

134,1 €

Liquidez

95 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

8/06/26, 21:3028/02/31, 13:29

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

2.6% to 3.0%11%

Regras

If the United States real GDP growth in 2030 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2030.
  • The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2030 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2030 GDP in early 2031.
  • Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
  • All stated bounds are inclusive.
  • For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,607.99+1.74%EthereumETH$1,652.11+1.38%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.90%

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Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.14%XRPXRP$1.12-0.23%BNBBNB$595.66+1.32%CardanoADA$0.1658+1.94%HyperliquidHYPE$54.97-2.35%LitecoinLTC$42.73+0.02%

Regras

If the United States real GDP growth in 2030 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2030.
  • The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2030 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2030 GDP in early 2031.
  • Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
  • All stated bounds are inclusive.
  • For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.