KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Exactly 4.2% 20%Líder entre 23 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
31 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
2,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
15/12/25, 15:00 UTC6/11/26, 13:29 UTC
Tendências
0%
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiFed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
KalshiSeptember Unemployment Rate
PolymarketUnemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich EU country will have the highest unemployment rate?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 91 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 569,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,4 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 359,2 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 16,4 mil
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Volume total
- € 314,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,5 mil
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Unemployment rate in Oct 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Exactly 4.2% em 20% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? é resolvido?
- Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 6 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets.