KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Exactly 4.2% 77%Líder entre 23 opções
Qualidade do mercado
55 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
368,3 €
Liquidez
3,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
15/12/25, 15:00 UTC4/12/26, 13:29 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
KalshiChina unemployment rate in August
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExSeptember Unemployment Rate
PolymarketRegras
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 97,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,8 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 702,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 400 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,5 mil
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,3 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,9 mil
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Unemployment rate in Nov 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Exactly 4.2% em 77% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? é resolvido?
- Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets.