KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
2.1% to 2.5% 10%-10.0ptLíder entre 14 opções
Qualidade do mercado
50 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
5,7 €
Liquidez
6,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
28/07/26, 00:00 UTC28/02/33, 13:29 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
US real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2033?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2034?
KalshiWho will win the presidency in 2028 and will average annual Real GDP growth be MORE or LESS than 2.8% during their term?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2027?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2028?
KalshiRegras
If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2032.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2032 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2032 GDP in early 2033.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.1% to 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.6% to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.3%98%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 266,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 76,4 mil
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+1.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+1.0pt92%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 93,1 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 157,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,3 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes-1.0pt6%
- Volume total
- € 3,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 12,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt90.1%
- Yes-2.0pt9.9%
- Volume total
- € 1,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 12,1 mil
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%+1.0pt98%
- Above 2.3%+5.0pt86%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Recession in 2027?
- CPI core in October
- CPI core in September
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US real GDP growth in 2032??
- A Kalshi cota 2.1% to 2.5% em 10% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US real GDP growth in 2032? é resolvido?
- US real GDP growth in 2032? deverá ser resolvido em 28 de fevereiro de 2033.
- Como US real GDP growth in 2032? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.