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  3. What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold Markets

What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")

baseTrade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsAIGeopolitiek2j
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsGeen KYC
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Manifold Markets
~50% or more of Americans receive it by end 2026 15%
Koploper van 18 uitkomsten
Voorspellers

101

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt gisteren

Verouderd
9 nov 25, 21:2322 jan 29, 7:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

~50% or more of Americans receive it by end 202615%

Regels

[image](Forbes article about his post)

Manifold Markets
  • Will it happen? If it does what will be true?
  • For ease of common parlance, "stimulus check" in this market is referring to the "dividends" of his post.
  • If this becomes a completely unsustainable metaphor, some answers may need to resolve or be rewritten.
  • Will resolve to best reporting, at latest by the end of his time in office or within a few months after the checks go out to let news stories shake loose.
  • If the check doesn't materialize before he leaves office, answers that are able to will resolve to YES or NO rather than N/A.

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Regels

[image](Forbes article about his post)

Manifold Markets
  • Will it happen? If it does what will be true?
  • For ease of common parlance, "stimulus check" in this market is referring to the "dividends" of his post.
  • If this becomes a completely unsustainable metaphor, some answers may need to resolve or be rewritten.
  • Will resolve to best reporting, at latest by the end of his time in office or within a few months after the checks go out to let news stories shake loose.
  • If the check doesn't materialize before he leaves office, answers that are able to will resolve to YES or NO rather than N/A.