Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92%
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd24 jan 26, 14:35 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWill Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”
Manifold MarketsWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
KalshiUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWill Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if President Trump imposes a 100% tariff on the majority of all Canadian imports.
- Resolution will be determined by official U.S. government announcements, executive orders, or proclamations published on the White House website or Federal Register.
- The tariff must be formally implemented and take effect to resolve YES.
- If Trump threatens but does not implement a 100% tariff, or implements a rate below 100%, the market resolves NO.
- On January 24, 2026, Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on all Canadian imports if Canada makes a trade deal with China.
Open markten
Trade PolicyKALSHIWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Before 2027-0.7pt5%
- Before August0%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 21,1K
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3157.5%
- October 31-5.0pt29.2%
- September 3013.3%
+1 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?
- Before Dec 1, 202657%
- Before Jan 1, 202755%
- Before Nov 1, 202652%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4,7K
- 24u volume
KALSHIWhen will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
- Before Jan 1, 202762%
- Before Nov 1, 202658%
- Before Dec 1, 202658%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4,4K
- 24u volume
- € 4,4K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt27%
- October 31-1.0pt12%
- September 306%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?
- No85%
- Yes15%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9K
- 24u volume
- € 2,9K
- Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
- Will Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
- US x Cuba economic deal by which date?
- What will Nike say during their next earnings call?
Gerelateerde crypto's
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump tariff Canada 100%?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 92% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump tariff Canada 100% afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump tariff Canada 100% wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump tariff Canada 100% afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria