Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
1.5 ptn (24u)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS Politics3mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 93%+1.5pt
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 7,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
6.0% / 8.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-4.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
29 jun 26, 19:26 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
- A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.