Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
BaseOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekPolitiek
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Mauritius 46.9%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Mauritius 46.9%Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd7 feb 25, 21:41 UTC1 jan 50, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump veto the UK's Chagos Islands deal?
Manifold MarketsWill China open a military facility in the Chagos Islands before 2040?
Manifold MarketsUS in control of Chagos Islands by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the .io ccTLD be substantially affected by the cession of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsRegels
The Chagos Islands (also called the Chagos Archipelago) are a group of islands in the Indian Ocean, the largest of which is Diego Garcia.
- The islands are currently controlled by the the named outcome as part of the British Indian Ocean Territory, but have been claimed by Mauritius since it gained independence from Britain in 1968; this claim has been supported by various international courts and organisations, including the ICJ.
- Diego Garcia is home to Naval Support Facility Diego Garcia, a British base leased to the the named outcome.
- In 2024, Britain announced a deal to transfer sovereignty of the islands the Mauritius; the deal proved controversial for various reasons, and there is speculation that the the named outcome under Donald Trump will veto it.
- This market will resolve to the country or countries that the islands officially belong to on 31 December 2049; if different islands are controlled by different countries, the market will resolve evenly to them (except for "the named outcome", which will resolve NO unless it is the case for all the islands).
- What matters is who officially owns the islands, not who has claims on it or leases any land on them.