Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Mauritius 46.9%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd7 feb 25, 21:41 UTC1 jan 50, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US in control of Chagos Islands by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?
PolymarketIf elected, will Graham Platner vote more like John Fetterman or Elizabeth Warren?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketRegels
The Chagos Islands (also called the Chagos Archipelago) are a group of islands in the Indian Ocean, the largest of which is Diego Garcia.
- The islands are currently controlled by the the named outcome as part of the British Indian Ocean Territory, but have been claimed by Mauritius since it gained independence from Britain in 1968; this claim has been supported by various international courts and organisations, including the ICJ.
- Diego Garcia is home to Naval Support Facility Diego Garcia, a British base leased to the the named outcome.
- In 2024, Britain announced a deal to transfer sovereignty of the islands the Mauritius; the deal proved controversial for various reasons, and there is speculation that the the named outcome under Donald Trump will veto it.
- This market will resolve to the country or countries that the islands officially belong to on 31 December 2049; if different islands are controlled by different countries, the market will resolve evenly to them (except for "the named outcome", which will resolve NO unless it is the case for all the islands).
- What matters is who officially owns the islands, not who has claims on it or leases any land on them.
Open markten
basePOLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 202754.3%
- June 30, 202736.2%
- December 31, 20268.6%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 16,2K
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M59%
- $1B-0.5pt50%
- $2B43%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 644,8K
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
- 70+100%
- 80+100%
- 90+100%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 58,7K
- 24u volume
- € 9,5K
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- United States11.7%
- France5.5%
- Canada4.5%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,6K
- 24u volume
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- 2.00% to 2.75%21.8%
- 3.00% to 3.75%21.8%
- 4.00% to 4.75%16.5%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 203,9
- 24u volume
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
- 210028.5%
- 207521.7%
- 205014%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 5,1K
- 24u volume
- —
- Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
- Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?
- Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]
- Will there be a moon base by 2030?
- How many people will attend Slutcon 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
- Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049??
- Manifold Markets prijst Mauritius op 47% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049? afgewikkeld?
- Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2050 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The Chagos Islands (also called the Chagos Archipelago) are a group of islands in the Indian Ocean, the largest of which is Diego Garcia.