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111 - 120 29.4%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd19 sep 23, 03:22 UTC1 jan 31, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWill NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a moon base by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Manifold MarketsRegels
A nice number is a natural number such that its square and cube combined contain all digits exactly once, without needing to use any leading zeros.
- It is already known that 69 is the only nice number in base ten, and so far, no nice number has been found in any other base either.
- Currently, the bases up to 48 have been completely searched for nice numbers, with none found, aside from 69 in base 10.
- You can see https://nicenumbers.net/ for the current status of the serach, as well as @Conflux's last post about it: https://beautifulthorns.wixsite.com/home/post/progress-update-on-the-search-for-nice-numbers
- As you can see, it is estimated that there should be about one nice number by the time we get to base 118, but this is only an estimate.
- This market resolves once the next nice number is found, provided that all bases smaller than the one it is nice in have been exhaustively checked (or otherwise proven not to have nice numbers).
Open markten
basePOLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 2027-1.0pt53.9%
- June 30, 202736.5%
- December 31, 20268.7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,8K
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M59%
- $1B50%
- $2B43%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 644,7K
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
- 70+100%
- 80+100%
- 90+100%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 58,6K
- 24u volume
- € 1,1K
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- No94.4%
- Yes5.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 80,1K
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?
- 5–7 wins40.2%
- 8-9 wins30.2%
- 10-11 wins13.2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 97,2
- 24u volume
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]
- If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?79.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?74.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?63.9%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
- What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
- What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
- Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
- Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What is the base of the next nice number??
- Manifold Markets prijst 111 - 120 op 29% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What is the base of the next nice number? afgewikkeld?
- What is the base of the next nice number? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What is the base of the next nice number? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: A nice number is a natural number such that its square and cube combined contain all digits exactly once, without needing to use any leading zeros.