Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the next nice number be found by a Proofnik??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 62% per 25 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will the next nice number be found by a Proofnik? afgewikkeld?

Will the next nice number be found by a Proofnik? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.

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Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 21:52 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4

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Play-money forecasting platform

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6 jan 23, 20:35 UTC2 jan 30, 07:59 UTC

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Lemme shamelessly capitalize on my Above The Fold shoutout by making a market about my school and nice numbers.

Resolves YES if the next nice number that I learn of (according to the criteria in the market below, though it may occur after that one ends) is discovered by a current or former member of Proof School.
(Some, including @JoshuaB, are working hard!) Resolves NO if it is found by someone else.
I will extend this market indefinitely until another nice number is found.
Be warned that this market may never resolve.
(https://manifold.markets/embed/Conflux/will-i-learn-of-a-nice-number-besid-c68dd57dfc1) General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.