KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 75%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 8,4K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
19.0% / 24.5%
Spread
5.5 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
27 jun 25, 20:45 UTC1 jan 50, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWill the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiNatural Disaster in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:ReutersThe Washington PostSemaforThe InformationThe Wall Street JournalBBC NewsCNNNBC NewsCBS NewsABC NewsFox NewsMSNBCScientific AmericanNatureScience MagazineSpace NewsSpaceflightNowNASAthe European Space AgencySpaceXthe China National Space AdministrationRoscosmosthe Indian Space Research Organisationthe Japan Aerospace Exploration AgencyBlue OriginVirgin Galacticthe Mars Societythe Planetary SocietyThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg News
Open markten
SpaceKALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 7+4.0pt93%
- Above 8+26.0pt70%
- Above 97%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 348,9K
- 24u volume
- € 60,5K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.3pt98%
- Google-0.5pt1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes51%
- No49%
- Totaal volume
- € 254,4K
- 24u volume
- € 29,8K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic88.1%
- Google-0.3pt7.9%
- Meta-0.1pt2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 31-0.1pt96%
- Super Heavy booster explodes?-1.0pt89%
- Successful splash down?+15.5pt83%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+4.0pt72%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-5.0pt41%
- Before May 1, 2027-13.0pt37%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?
- Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will humans colonize Mars before 2050??
- Kalshi prijst No op 75% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? afgewikkeld?
- Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2050 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.