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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Space
  3. Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

2.9% (24u)SpaceWetenschapWeatherYearly6mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 31%-2.9%
Marktkwaliteit

44 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 5,7

Liquiditeit

€ 561,1

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

30.6% / 32.5%

Spread

6.2%

Gematigde spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden

9 nov 25, 15:001 jan 27, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes31%

Regels

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027

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Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

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Manifold Markets

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

€ 173,2
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How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

€ 3,3
Above 2: 67%KalshiKALSHI
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

€ 95,1
<4m: 51%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

€ 0
Above 5: 0%KalshiKALSHI

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,871.62+2.52%EthereumETH$1,658.53+1.90%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.89%HyperliquidHYPE$55.72+0.77%XRPXRP$1.12+0.73%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.76%

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Regels

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027