KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Ja 80%+2.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
62 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 214,7
Liquiditeit
€ 3,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
78.0% / 81.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
22 dec 25, 15:00 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiThis Sep 2026 is the hottest September ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsThis Aug 2026 is the hottest August ever?
KalshiRegels
If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:NASA Goddard
Institute for Space Studies
- The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 131,5K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 103,6K
- 24u volume
- € 27,9K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 996,1K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will 2026 be the hottest year ever??
- Kalshi prijst Yes op 80% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? afgewikkeld?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.