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  3. How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

0.3% (24u)WetenschapYearly6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
11–13
11–13 36%+2.0%
Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

52 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 455,4

Liquiditeit

€ 13,6K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

0.3% / 1.0%

Spread

233.3%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-0.6%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden

31 dec 25, 17:1431 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

11–1336%

Regels

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.