KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before 2040 64%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
59 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 813,2
Liquiditeit
€ 18,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
3.6 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
14 aug 25, 20:45 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Physical Review XQuantum Science and TechnologyProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesPhysical Review AMIT Technology ReviewReutersAssociated PressBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe New York TimesNature
- If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $78,000 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
- $78,500 or above98%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 864,8K
- 24u volume
- € 863,2K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $65,500 or above98%
- $73,500 or above97%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 442,7K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 200-219+9.0pt35.9%
- 180-199+0.5pt35%
- 220-239+4.0pt15.5%
+23 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+12.5pt67.3%
- <40-8.0pt16.8%
- 65-89-4.0pt13.9%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIETH price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,480 or above98%
- $2,440 or above98%
- $2,400 or above97%
+37 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 145,6K
- 24u volume
- € 145,3K
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No73.7%
- Yes26.3%
- Totaal volume
- € 133,6K
- 24u volume
- € 133,5K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the first useful quantum computer be developed??
- Kalshi prijst Before 2040 op 64% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? afgewikkeld?
- When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.