Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling70+ 100%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
26
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+0.2 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd13 mei 26, 23:17 UTC31 dec 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
100%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWill NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a moon base by 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
Manifold MarketsHow much will GTA 6 cost? (USA, PlayStation 5, digital)
Manifold MarketsRegels
Spotify Market: https://manifold.markets/Base/who-will-be-my-most-streamed-spotif-z5QI2QIUtN
- I will do no trades.
Open markten
basePOLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 2027+6.0pt56.8%
- June 30, 202734.2%
- December 31, 20268.1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 77,9K
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M59%
- $1B-1.0pt49%
- $2B43%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 644,1K
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- No94.4%
- Yes5.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 80K
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?
- 5–7 wins40.2%
- 8-9 wins30.2%
- 10-11 wins13.2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 97,1
- 24u volume
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]
- If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?79.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?74.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?63.9%
+3 extra uitkomsten
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
- Before 203544.2%
- 2035 - 204524.1%
- 2045 - 206020.8%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3K
- 24u volume
- What is the base of the next nice number?
- What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
- What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
- Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
- Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get??
- Manifold Markets prijst 70+ op 100% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get? afgewikkeld?
- How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Spotify Market: https://manifold.markets/Base/who-will-be-my-most-streamed-spotif-z5QI2QIUtN