Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBefore 2035 44.2%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
58
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd20 aug 23, 15:18 UTC2 jan 00, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0.4%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will be the most numerous type of fusion power plant in 2100?
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ForecastExWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
KalshiWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketRegels
For decades, nuclear fusion was always "20 years away".
- Now it's time to settle the debate here! Will it ever happen, and when?
- I've opted for a range instead of a specific year, but you can specify the exact year in the comments below if you want.
- I've also allowed for adding new answers later for this poll, so if you think additional options need to be added, let me know!
- Will resolve when either of the following conditions are met:
- The first commercial nuclear fusion power station is built.
Open markten
basePOLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 202754.3%
- June 30, 202736.2%
- December 31, 20268.6%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 16,2K
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M59%
- $1B-0.5pt50%
- $2B43%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 644,8K
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
- 70+100%
- 80+100%
- 90+100%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
- € 9,5K
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- United States11.7%
- France5.5%
- Canada4.5%
+4 extra uitkomsten
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MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- 2.00% to 2.75%21.8%
- 3.00% to 3.75%21.8%
- 4.00% to 4.75%16.5%
+4 extra uitkomsten
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- € 203,9
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MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
- Mauritius46.9%
- United Kingdom25.7%
- United States10%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3K
- 24u volume
- What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
- Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
- Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?
- Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built??
- Manifold Markets prijst Before 2035 op 44% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built? afgewikkeld?
- When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2100 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: For decades, nuclear fusion was always "20 years away".