By Dec 31, 2035, will any nuclear fusion power plant have delivered at least 100 MW of net electrical power, 30 day ave.
One-OffWetenschapTech9jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.4%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd3 okt 26, 23:21 UTC30 dec 35, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2035 (11:59 PM UTC), any nuclear fusion power plant has delivered a net electrical power output of at least 100 MW (megawatts electric, or MWe) averaged over a continuous 30-day period.
- Net electrical power is defined as the gross electrical power generated by the fusion facility minus the total recirculating (parasitic) electrical power consumed by the facility itself (e.g., for plasma heating, magnet cooling, cryogenics, and other support systems) to sustain operations.
- The power must be delivered either directly to a public electrical grid or to dedicated external end-users (e.g., commercial off-takers).
- 30-day average means the net power delivered must average at least 100 MW over a continuous 720-hour (30-day) window.
- For facilities operating in pulsed modes, the net electrical power exported must still average at least 100 MW over the 30-day period when accounting for both the pulses and the intervening non-operational periods.
