KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
Before 2035 · —
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Opgeslagen prijs
Before 2035 83.2%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Before 2035 83.2%Marktkwaliteit
56 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 728,5
Open interest
US$ 147,5K
Hoge open interestBied / Laat
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Before 2035Spread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
20 dec 25, 03:00 UTC1 jan 29, 15:00 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · Before 2035
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize awarded for Ozempic (or GLP-1 drugs) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before a Nobel Prize is awarded for a discovery relating to dark matter?
Manifold MarketsWill a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?
Manifold MarketsHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRegels
If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:the Clay Mathematics Institute
- The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem. The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples). Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify. If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award. The Poincaré Conjecture has already been solved by Grigori Perelman.
Regels per uitkomst
- Before 2035
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2030
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.