KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before 2035 50.4%Koploper van 5 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
43 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 546,4
Liquiditeit
€ 28,6K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
7.7 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
20 dec 25, 3:002 jan 27, 3:00
Trends
Regels
If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:the Clay Mathematics Institute
- The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem.
- The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples).
- Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify.
- If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award.
- The Poincaré Conjecture has already been solved by Grigori Perelman.
Open markten
Science
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 57,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 182,5K
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-2.0pt20%
- Before 2028-2.0pt13%
- Before 2027+0.3pt4%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 31,2 mln.
KALSHIUS grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- No94%
- Yes-6.6pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 667,5K
- 24u volume
- € 1,6K
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes+4.6pt85%
- No15%
- Totaal volume
- € 271,7K
- 24u volume
- € 1,4K
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 203537.9%
- Before 203226.3%
- Before 203022.1%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,5K
- 24u volume
- € 1,3K
KALSHIHow many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Above 1087%
- Above 1575%
- Above 2040%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7,1K
- 24u volume
- € 860,6
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- When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded??
- Kalshi prijst Before 2035 op 50% per 4 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? afgewikkeld?
- When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.