Will a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 86.9%
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd23 mrt 26, 00:04 UTC23 nov 28, 01:02 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsWill Ohio elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 4 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegels
A more expansive version of https://manifold.markets/Jack1/will-a-democratic-senator-say-or-po.
- "Say" includes tweeting or posting on social media platforms.
- Resolves YES IF within 24 hours of Trump's death, a Democratic Senator (caucuses with Dems) posts or says something positive about Trump's death.
- In the event of an ambiguous situation, I will attempt to resolve as best as possible and may resolve to a percent (I'll try and avoid this).
- I will not trade on this market.
- (I'll extend the close date until Trump's death.)
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 691,8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 87% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening? afgewikkeld?
- Will a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening? wordt naar verwachting op 23 november 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: A more expansive version of https://manifold.markets/Jack1/will-a-democratic-senator-say-or-po.