Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
2.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing3mnd
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Texas 35.1%+2.0ptKoploper van 16 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
53 / 100
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€ 49,5K
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€ 48,6K
Hoge liquiditeitMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 minuten geleden
23 sep 26, 21:00 UTC3 jan 27, 13:59 UTC
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Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
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KalshiRegels
If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Federal Election CommissionMississippi Secretary of StateLouisiana Secretary of StateMontana Secretary of StateSouth Carolina State Election CommissionKansas Secretary of StateTexas Secretary of StateIowa Secretary of StateAlaska Division of Electionsthe Florida Division of ElectionsOhio Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of ElectionsGeorgia Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMinnesota Secretary of StateVirginia Department of Elections
- A state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results.
- The margin is negative where Harris won.
- A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party).
- Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.
- Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026??
- Kalshi prijst Texas op 35.1% per 25 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 3 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.