Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
11.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing3mnd
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Florida 36.5%+11.0ptKoploper van 20 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
59 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 139,6K
Liquiditeit
€ 113,9K
Hoge liquiditeitMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
23 sep 26, 21:00 UTC3 jan 27, 13:59 UTC
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Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If Massachusetts is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Federal Election CommissionMassachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections DivisionDelaware Department of ElectionsOregon Secretary of State, Elections DivisionRhode Island Board of ElectionsColorado Secretary of StateIllinois State Board of ElectionsMaine Secretary of State, Division of ElectionsNew Mexico Secretary of State, Elections DivisionNew Jersey Division of ElectionsVirginia Department of ElectionsMinnesota Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateGeorgia Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of ElectionsOhio Secretary of Statethe Florida Division of ElectionsAlaska Division of ElectionsIowa Secretary of StateTexas Secretary of State
- A state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results.
- The margin is negative where Trump won.
- A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican.
- Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.
- Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026??
- Kalshi prijst Florida op 36.5% per 25 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 3 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Massachusetts is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.