Adozione

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

Before Jan 1, 2027

0.8 pt (24h)2m

Sì4%-0.8pt

No96%

Cripto correlate

BTC

Qualità media (74)Spread strettoOpen interest altoVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale198,5K USD

Volume 24h255 USD

KALSHI

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

2m

Sì5%

No95%

Cripto correlate

BTC

Bassa qualità (≤49)Spread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale65,3K USD

Volume 24h—

POLYMARKET

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

2m

Sì1%

No99%

Bassa qualità (33)Spread ampioBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale21,6K USD

Volume 24h—

POLYMARKET

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

2m

Sì45.1%

No54.9%

Cripto correlate

BTC

Bassa qualità (30)Spread sconosciutoLiquidità sconosciutaMercato poco profondo

Volume totale9,9K USD

Volume 24h—

LIMITLESS

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

1m

Sì8%

No92%

Cripto correlate

BTC

Bassa qualità (30)Spread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale391,2 USD

Volume 24h—

FUTUUR

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

2m

Sì9%

No91%

Bassa qualità (32)Spread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale154,1 USD

Volume 24h—

FUTUUR

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

2m

Sì4%

No96%

Cripto correlate

BTC

Riferimento CoinRithmNo97%· 2 pt di scarto tra venue

Bassa qualità (32)Spread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale25 USD

Volume 24h—

FUTUUR

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

3g

Sì58.1%

No41.9%

Previsione della comunità12 previsoriTipo: binary

2 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?

3a

Sì50.1%

No49.9%

Previsione della comunità15 previsoriTipo: binary

18 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

4a

Sì11.3%

No88.7%

Previsione della comunità9 previsoriTipo: binary

10 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "compute sovereignty" become popular like data sovereignty?

2a

Sì47.9%

No52.1%

Previsione della comunità3 previsoriTipo: binary

15 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

3a

Sì65.5%

No34.5%

Previsione della comunità22 previsoriTipo: binary

2 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will a device that utilizes reversible computing be sold to the general public?

Before 204766.2%

Before 204459%

Before 203250%

+4 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità2 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

1a

Sì27.9%

No72.1%

Previsione della comunità14 previsoriTipo: binary

19 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the metaverse become a mainstream social platform by 2030?

3a

Sì8.5%

No91.5%

Previsione della comunità9 previsoriTipo: binary

17 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How long will my career be?

2036-204513%

2046-205513%

2056-206513%

+5 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità1 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

18 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In what year will private air travel surpass public air travel?

2042-204719.6%

2048-205319.6%

2054-206019.6%

+3 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità2 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

1 ora fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

4a

Sì52%

No48%

Previsione della comunità326 previsoriTipo: binary

19 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

By the end of which year will my HOA first install at least five EV charging stations?

3a

2030 or later62.8%

202956.9%

202851.5%

+3 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità4 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

2 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Sonic $S (former Fantom $FTM) reach $0.50 by the end of 2026?

2m

Sì52.5%

No47.5%

Previsione della comunità3 previsoriTipo: binary

10 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

3a

Sì10.1%

No89.9%

Previsione della comunità3 previsoriTipo: binary

10 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will flow batteries be the most popular method of grid-scale energy storage before 2030?

3a

Sì20.7%

No79.3%

Previsione della comunità4 previsoriTipo: binary

10 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036?

9a

Sì47.5%

No52.5%

Previsione della comunità4 previsoriTipo: binary

7 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I get adopted a second time by 2030?

4a

Sì57.1%

No42.9%

Previsione della comunità5 previsoriTipo: binary

10 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

A Sovereign Nation Grants Monetary Sovereignty to a Province by 2030

4a

Sì33.2%

No66.8%

Previsione della comunità4 previsoriTipo: binary

2 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the new Jaguar car marketing campaign increase sales?

1a

Sì45.2%

No54.8%

Previsione della comunità5 previsoriTipo: binary

18 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Most of my close friends will own and regularly use a VR headset by 2030.

4a

Sì55%

No45%

Previsione della comunità6 previsoriTipo: binary

2 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will many visual artists in the US be compensated for AI models trained on their work before the end of 2027?

1a

Sì7.5%

No92.5%

Previsione della comunità6 previsoriTipo: binary

18 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028

2a

Sì25%

No75%

Previsione della comunità7 previsoriTipo: binary

18 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?

4a

Sì85.5%

No14.5%

Previsione della comunità8 previsoriTipo: binary

7 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a majority of McDonalds in the US stop having face to face human cashiers by the end of 2035?

8a

Sì59.9%

No40.1%

Previsione della comunità8 previsoriTipo: binary

10 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

4a

Sì15.3%

No84.7%

Previsione della comunità8 previsoriTipo: binary

10 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

2a

Sì31%

No69%

Previsione della comunità8 previsoriTipo: binary

2 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In 2026, the majority of Pakistani adults will be banked.

2m

Sì49.2%

No50.8%

Previsione della comunità9 previsoriTipo: binary

15 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

3a

Sì57.3%

No42.7%

Previsione della comunità9 previsoriTipo: binary

18 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

4a

Sì79%

No21%

Previsione della comunità9 previsoriTipo: binary

2 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

4a

Sì38.3%

No61.7%

Previsione della comunità10 previsoriTipo: binary

15 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

1a

Sì41.4%

No58.6%

Previsione della comunità10 previsoriTipo: binary

10 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Full Self Driving revolution be bigger then the Smartphone revolution by at least one order of magnitude?

8a

Sì18.7%

No81.3%

Previsione della comunità11 previsoriTipo: binary

19 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?

2m

Sì3.8%

No96.2%

Previsione della comunità12 previsoriTipo: binary

18 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?

2m

Sì9.9%

No90.1%

Previsione della comunità12 previsoriTipo: binary

17 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of NYC yellow taxis will be electric vehicles by 2030?

3a

Sì59.9%

No40.1%

Previsione della comunità13 previsoriTipo: binary

18 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

13a

Sì82%

No18%

Previsione della comunità14 previsoriTipo: binary

9 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender:

2m

Suriname22.9%

Kazakhstan14%

Cabo Verde10.9%

+26 altri esiti

Cripto correlate

BTC

Previsione della comunità64 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

15 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

4a

Sì88.8%

No11.2%

Previsione della comunità14 previsoriTipo: binary

10 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I create a real-money question for Manifold by the end of 2026?

2m

Sì17.9%

No82.1%

Previsione della comunità17 previsoriTipo: binary

18 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?

13a

Sì5.4%

No94.6%

Previsione della comunità16 previsoriTipo: binary

9 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

1a

Sì6.2%

No93.8%

Previsione della comunità17 previsoriTipo: binary

15 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Asset Cripto Correlati

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?

Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

Will "compute sovereignty" become popular like data sovereignty?

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

When will a device that utilizes reversible computing be sold to the general public?

Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the metaverse become a mainstream social platform by 2030?

How long will my career be?

In what year will private air travel surpass public air travel?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

By the end of which year will my HOA first install at least five EV charging stations?

Will Sonic $S (former Fantom $FTM) reach $0.50 by the end of 2026?

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

Will flow batteries be the most popular method of grid-scale energy storage before 2030?

Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036?

Will I get adopted a second time by 2030?

A Sovereign Nation Grants Monetary Sovereignty to a Province by 2030

Will the new Jaguar car marketing campaign increase sales?

Most of my close friends will own and regularly use a VR headset by 2030.

Will many visual artists in the US be compensated for AI models trained on their work before the end of 2027?

Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028

Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?

Will a majority of McDonalds in the US stop having face to face human cashiers by the end of 2035?

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

In 2026, the majority of Pakistani adults will be banked.

If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

Will the Full Self Driving revolution be bigger then the Smartphone revolution by at least one order of magnitude?

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?

Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?

What percentage of NYC yellow taxis will be electric vehicles by 2030?

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender:

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Will I create a real-money question for Manifold by the end of 2026?

Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

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