Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?
One-OffAdoptionTecnologia1mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 65.3%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto26 giu 26, 18:16 UTC30 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between June 26, 2026, and October 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT, I successfully convince an individual whom I know or met in person (IRL) to create a Manifold Markets account and follow my profile.
- To resolve YES, the following conditions must be met:
- The individual must be someone I have interacted with in person (not an online-only contact).
- They must register a new Manifold Markets account and follow my profile during the specified timeframe.
- I will post the username of the referred user in the market comments to provide verification.
Mercati aperti
AdoptionKALSHIWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+5.3pt9%
- Volume totale
- 159,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 350,7 €
KALSHIFinance AI adoption in September
- Above 73%88%
- Above 73.25%0%
- Above 73.5%0%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 172,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 172,1 €
POLYMARKETOver 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume totale
- 18,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 47,3 €
KALSHIHealthcare AI adoption in September
- Above 43%87%
- Above 43.5%0%
- Above 43.75%0%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 43 €
- Volume 24h
- 43 €
POLYMARKETUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 52,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?
- No84.6%
- Yes15.4%
- Volume totale
- 1,5K €
- Volume 24h
- —
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 65% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26??
- Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria