Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How long will my career be??

Manifold Markets quota 2036-2045 al 13% al 18 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve How long will my career be??

How long will my career be? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2100.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

2036-2045 13%

In testa tra 8 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

0.0 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 ore fa

Obsoleto

16 mar 26, 04:47 UTC2 gen 00, 04:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolves to the date where I stop working because my job has been completely automated and don't find another job within 1.5 years.

If I have the skillset to be employed, but am not because supply >> demand, then this doesn't resolve.
If I am not automated by 2100, or if I retire having worked my whole career, this resolves no.
I am a class of 2026 math and CS graduate from a top 25 uni globally.
My uni has one of the best AI programs in the world.
I currently have two job offers, one to work in AI safety and one in quant trading.